Beef production last week climbed 13.4% from the prior week which included a holiday and was 8.9% bigger than the same week last year. Cattle weights have been trending below year ago levels which suggests that near slaughter ready cattle supplies have tightened. For the week ending May 28th, the average cattle carcass weight was .9% lighter than last year marking the steepest ending decline in year over year cattle weights since December 2011. Limited cattle supplies could be supportive of the cattle and beef markets in the near term. However, beef demand could be spotty during the next several weeks which could temper any upside price moves for beef.
Product Description |
Market Trend |
Supplies |
Price vs. Last Year |
Live Cattle |
Decreasing |
Short |
Lower |
Feeder Cattle Index (CME) |
Decreasing |
Short |
Lower |
Ground Beef 81/19 |
Increasing |
Good |
Lower |
Ground Chuck |
Decreasing |
Good |
Lower |
109 Export Rib (ch) |
Decreasing |
Good |
Higher |
109 Export Rib (pr) |
Decreasing |
Good |
Lower |
112a Ribeye (ch) |
Increasing |
Good |
Higher |
112a Ribeye (pr) |
Decreasing |
Good |
Lower |
114a Chuck, Shlder Cld (ch) |
Decreasing |
Good |
Lower |
116 Chuck (sel) |
Increasing |
Good |
Lower |
116 Chuck (ch) |
Increasing |
Good |
Lower |
116b Chuck Tender (ch) |
Decreasing |
Good |
Lower |
120 Brisket (choice) |
Increasing |
Good |
Higher |
120a Brisket (ch) |
Increasing |
Good |
Lower |
121c Outside Skirt (ch/sel) |
Increasing |
Good |
Higher |
121d Inside Skirt (ch/sel) |
Decreasing |
Good |
Lower |
121e Cap & Wedge |
Decreasing |
Good |
Lower |
167a Knckle, Trimmed (ch) |
Decreasing |
Good |
Lower |
168 Inside Round (ch) |
Increasing |
Good |
Lower |
169 Top Round (ch) |
Increasing |
Good |
Lower |
171b Outside Round (ch) |
Decreasing |
Good |
Lower |
174 Short Loin (ch 0x1) |
Increasing |
Good |
Higher |
174 Short Loin (pr 2×3) |
Increasing |
Good |
Higher |
180 1×1 Strip (ch) |
Increasing |
Good |
Higher |
180 1×1 Strip (pr) |
Increasing |
Good |
Lower |
180 0x1 Strip (ch) |
Decreasing |
Good |
Higher |
184 Top Butt, boneless (ch) |
Increasing |
Good |
Higher |
184 Top Butt, boneless (pr) |
Decreasing |
Good |
Lower |
185a Sirloin Flap (ch) |
Decreasing |
Good |
Lower |
185c Loin, Tri-Tip (ch) |
Increasing |
Good |
Higher |
189a Tender (sel, 5 lb & up) |
Increasing |
Good |
Lower |
189a Tender (ch, 5 lb &up) |
Decreasing |
Good |
Lower |
189a Tender (pr, heavy) |
Decreasing |
Good |
Lower |
193 Flank Steak (ch) |
Decreasing |
Good |
Lower |
50% Trimmings |
Increasing |
Good |
Higher |
65% Trimmings |
Decreasing |
Good |
Lower |
75% Trimmings |
Increasing |
Good |
Lower |
85% Trimmings |
Increasing |
Short |
Lower |
90% Trimmings |
Increasing |
Short |
Lower |
90% Imported Beef (frz) |
Increasing |
Good |
Lower |
95% Imported Beef (frz) |
Increasing |
Good |
Lower |
Veal Rack (Hotel 7 rib) |
Decreasing |
Good |
Lower |
Veal Top Round (cap off) |
Decreasing |
Good |
Lower |